Day Seven of 1,461 (or 2,922)

Hasn’t been a full week yet, friends!

  • The full transcript of Trump’s ABC interview is not fun to read. Go read it.
  • Martin Longman questions Trump’s mental fitness. It certainly would explain some things.
  • I like Slate a lot these days. They’ve got Dear Prudence. They’ve got Jamelle Bouie. And they’ve got Dahlia Lithwick.
  • So we don’t have a State department. That’s OK, right?
  • Of all the horrible, cruel things Trump has already done, promising to publicize crimes committed by immigrants just because they’re immigrants is especially horribly cruel. This is almost certainly Bannon’s doing.
  • Tulsi Gabbard is an anti-Muslim, Trump-toadying fraud. The good people of Hawaii deserve better.
  • EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS EMAILS… are something Trump voters never actually cared about. Who knew? (Propane Jane on Twitter has been excellent in pointing out that for all of the malfeasance committed by Comey and the national media, it wouldn’t have worked if Trump voters hadn’t been looking for an excuse to vote for him.)
  • Finally, the Williams sisters are awesome. America is still great, sometimes.

Day Six of 1,461 (or 2,922)

Everything’s just peachy, don’t you agree? At least Kingdom Hearts HD 2.8 Final Chapter Prologue is out!

  • Donald Trump continues to lie about voter fraud, possibly because he’s a petulant, insecure loser, possibly because the Republican party intends to entrench itself in our institutions with nationwide voter suppression, possibly because he’s projecting heavily as he always does, possibly all of the above. We report, you decide.
  • Support the League of Women Voters, they do good work.
  • Cartoonishly awful legacy laws are still being found, this one concerning Chinamen and San Francisco. At least they’re handling it nicely.
  • Silicon Valley is Awful, Volume 3,000 (via Anne Laurie).
  • Some Democratic Senators are voting to confirm Ben Carson. With the caveat that President Obama’s Cabinet nominees were actually NOT significantly obstructed by the Republicans, I don’t see how confirming Trump’s nominees benefits our party or the nation.
  • I’m sure that this story will get lots of traction, considering that IT policy decided the fate of the free world last November.
  • Mexico reacted to the wall announcement as absolutely nobody could have foreseen.

People who use “OCD” as an adjective suck

“OCD” = “obsessive-compulsive disorder.” “Disorder” is a noun. “Obsessive-compulsive” modifies “disorder,” ergo “obsessive-compulsive” is an adjective. “OCD” is a noun.

SO WHEN YOU SAY, “I AM SO OCD” YOU ARE WRONG AND YOU SHOULD FEEL BAD FOR BEING WRONG. YOU WOULD NOT SAY “I AM SO SICKNESS” WHEN YOU MEAN TO SAY “I AM SO SICK” SO YOU SHOULD NOT SAY “I AM SO OCD.” LEARN FROM TOBIAS.

People who use “OCD” as an adjective suck. They are killing America.

Day Five of 1,461 (or 2,922)

Watch this classic Donald Duck short, then try to guess which Academy Award it was nominated for in 1942.

What happened today:

  • I happen to like Dippin’ Dots a lot and they’re a fun part of any trip to the zoo/science museum. We were not prepared for their arrival, but maybe some glorious future generation will be.
  • The Senate Democrats and Chuck Schumer did something good! This is promising.
  • Some Senate Democrats and Chuck Schumer did something idiotic. This is not promising, except for Kirsten Gillibrand.
  • It’s a good thing that a former Secretary of State isn’t around to deal with Chinese saber-rattling. She might email them.
  • EPA grants are gone. The EPA is silenced. Isn’t that lovely?
  • Bernie once again goes out of his way to give cover to Trump. He should stop doing that.
  • David Brooks is a worthless hack. An evergreen statement. (h/t dnexon at Lawyers, Guns & Money)
  • Susan Sarandon is a disgrace and Cher is awesome. If only Michelle Pfeiffer had chimed in…

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And finally, The New Spirit was nominated for Best Documentary Feature. Different times.

They’re gonna get worse.

“Mademoiselle, I beseech you, do not do what you are doing.” “Leave dear Linnet alone, you mean!” “It is deeper than that. Do not open your heart to evil.” Her lips fell apart; a look of bewilderment came into her eyes. Poirot went on gravely: “Because — if you do — evil will come … Yes, very surely evil will come … It will enter in and make its home within you, and after a little while it will no longer be possible to drive it out.”

—Agatha Christie, Death on the Nile

There’s a good article up on Slate (with some good illustrations) comparing Donald Trump to the snake oil salesmen of yore and present. It focuses on why we shouldn’t expect his supporters to turn on him any time soon.

There are many who hope Trump’s supporters will hold him accountable. That they will insist he fulfill his promises about jobs or universal health coverage—and when those promises are broken, that their fervent support will turn into rage at having been duped, causing Trump anguish and eventually costing him re-election.

This is wishful thinking. Trump’s rise to power has followed a similar trajectory to that of quacks who peddle panaceas to the desperate—a bizarre and heartbreaking world I’ve long studied. Just like them, Trump will fail to deliver. But his supporters will find a way to exonerate him. Consider the ability of one “Archbishop” Jim Humble—a former gold prospector who claims extraterrestrial lineage—to persuade parents to pump their autistic children full of Master Mineral Solution, even though MMS, when activated by citric acid, becomes a dangerous form of industrial bleach. Or “Gerson” therapy evangelists, who talk cancer patients into paying thousands to detoxify with organic juice at a Tijuana, Mexico, clinic, despite studies showing the therapy is ineffective (unsurprising given that it was developed not by oncologists, but an early 20th-century Viennese doctor named Max Gerson as an unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment).

When people make big bets on miracle cures that fail to work, they rarely turn against the treatments or their merchants. Instead, they rationalize their misplaced faith, in order to save face, remain hopeful, and preserve an identity that’s defined by their courageous ability to reject the status quo.

[…]

The process of embracing a charlatan’s empowering vision is not rational, which means that rational arguments are unlikely, in isolation, to dispell it. Studies have repeatedly demonstrated that people cling tenaciously to their worldviews, and conflicting data may actually strengthen their beliefs. (Just look at this family who thinks Trump is “a man of faith who will bring Godliness back.”) To renounce Trump would mean admitting that one’s worldview—of a country wracked by carnage, as the president put it in his inaugural address, and a truth-telling hero who can heal it—is fundamentally mistaken. And that can also mean confronting existential panic without a panacea. It is much easier to forgive Trump for not locking her up than to wrestle with such truths.

Surprisingly, though the article discusses concepts like “epistemic uncertainty” and “sunk cost,” it never calls this fallacy by its name: cognitive dissonance. I think that people generally act first then justify later. When your actions conflict with your beliefs, changing your beliefs is always easier than changing your future actions, which is inconvenient, or changing your past actions, which is impossible. If Trump voters are asked to reconcile the action of voting for a racist with the belief that racism is bad, chances are they’ll decide that racism is good. But that depends on how his presidency goes.

To paraphrase, participants in the foundational experiment on cognitive dissonance were more likely to say a boring task was fun if they were paid $1 for it than if they were paid $20. Many people would have expected the opposite. But you don’t need to tell yourself that you enjoyed something boring if you were richly rewarded for it. That’s what the money is for. On the other hand, if you just got one measly buck, the pressure on you to justify your participation is strong. Nobody wants to feel like a fool.

If Trump actually makes the country better, his voters will be less likely to internalize his racism/sexism/ableism/basic lack of decency and may think of it as an unpleasant cost of doing business. But if he crashes it into a ditch like all signs suggest he will, his supporters will want to hang on to something that shows they were justified in voting for him. And I fear that the “I’m not racist” crowd will come to openly embrace the bigotry that Trump espouses.

Of course, cognitive dissonance goes both ways. Suppose you have a moderately liberal man who votes Democratic but doesn’t know why those protesters have to be so darn rude? Suppose that he did not expect Trump to win and did not participate in the 2016 election beyond voting. Suppose this man, shaken by the results, attended one of the Women’s Marches on Saturday. Suppose he found himself marching next to women, black women, LGBTQ women, disabled women, women of all stripes and backgrounds. Suppose he got caught up in the moment and joined in the chants of, “Black lives matter!” or “Her body, her choice!”

When this man replays the events of the day in his head, will he disavow what he said earlier? Or will he internalize his actions and emerge stronger for it? History suggests it will be the latter. The anti-Trump protests, beyond rebuking the idiot in the White House, could make better human beings out of their participants. That’s what I’m hoping for, at least.

Day Four of 1,461 (or 2,922)

What the Women’s Marches will accomplish is still up in the air. And there were already problems with them that can’t go ignored. But Saturday was the first day since November 8 when I felt good about the future of our country, if only for a moment. My mood had approximated the emotions I felt after Dumbledore’s death in Half-Blood Prince, the closing chapters of Catch-22 or all of Lord of the Flies. Now there’s a glimmer of something.

How were y’all’s days?

  • Marco Rubio is a sniveling, worthless coward. Until proven otherwise I will expect nothing good from Republican officeholders.
  • RIP TPP. RIP NAFTA? I never really opposed the TPP, mostly because of my respect for President Obama. There didn’t appear to be too much else going for it. And now that it’s dead we’re hearing all about the trade deals that signatories will now be making with China. Was the TPP the best we could do, given the circumstances? I’m trying to find some answers.
  • Hillary having departed for upstate New York with her PRIVATE EMAIL SERVER, the media finds itself forced to do its job. This time on Trump’s lies regarding auto manufacturing.
  • Block grants may sound lovely, but they’re just packaging for big funding cuts to Medicaid. Focus on the money.
  • Trump is a pathetic propagandist. Don’t believe his lies.
  • Welp.
  • At least one good thing will be happening this year:

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